basecase.trade
Terms
What this is
What this is. A research tool that turns price history into explicit,
adjustable probability estimates. It has no access to fundamentals, news or
positioning, it cannot know anything the price has not already reflected, and its
forward-looking numbers are the output of assumptions you control in the sidebar —
not predictions. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to trade.
Not investment advice. This is analytical software for research and education. It
produces modelled probabilities from assumptions you set, not recommendations, and its
authors are not financial advisers. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable
for every investor; short positions and short option legs can lose more than the capital
committed. Verify every price, premium and expiry against your broker before acting, and
make your own decisions or consult a licensed professional.